The researchers conducted by authors in the field of use of mathematical models for formation of plans of production by the industrial enterprises showed that in the conditions of the modern period of functioning of world economy it is extremely important to provide use of such models which would give the chance to heads of the industrial enterprises to form administrative decisions on release of finished goods in the volumes and the nomenclature which were quite demanded by her buyers in the international markets. The mathematical model of formation of production plans of the industrial enterprise developed by authors, conforming to these requirements in the conditions of uncertainty, showed the high efficiency. Its introduction in practice is especially effective when the enterprise is capable to calculate sale price of production guaranteeing profitability of a primary activity of the industrial enterprise with the set probability.In article the new mathematical model of definition of sale price of production guaranteeing profitability of a primary activity of the industrial enterprise with the set probability, allowing analysts of the company to form versions of production plans on the basis of expected and adaptive model is considered. The offered mathematical model can be adapted for the most different types of productions.

forecasting, kind of activity, profitability

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Bulletin of the South Ural State University. Ser. Computer Technologies, Automatic Control, Radio Electronics, 2014, vol. 14, no. 4, pp. 133-138. (in Russ.) (Brief Reports)