Statistical characteristics of information flows of train arrivals to the Chelyabinsk Major railroad yard

UDC 637.125

Vyacheslav Sergeevich Zhabreev, doctor of engineering, professor, Honored Worker of university, The Head of Department of “Computer technology” CHIRT-USURT, Russian Federation, zhabr@rambler.ru

Vyacheslav Evgenjevich Ignatov, Postgraduate student USURT of “Computer technology” CHIRT, Russian Federation, ignatov-ve@mail.ru

Abstract

The findings of the statistic analysis differences between the registered and existent arrival times of the train set on the major railway yard Chelyabinsk, classified according to Poisson's law, are presented in the article. The interconnection of the statistic methods in the process of taking decisions on the train formation will allow to enlarge the reliability of prediction in the specified interval by means of minimizing the human factor's influence.

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Keywords

statistic analysis, railway traffic, arrival time, human factor, to predict, Poisson's distribution

References

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Source

Bulletin of the South Ural State University. Ser. Computer Technologies, Automatic Control, Radio Electronics, 2012, iss. 15, no. 3 (262), pp. 63-67. (in Russ.) (The main)